Predicting Nominations

by Ken B.

*Sigh*

It’s that time of year again, where we forgo any practical thinking and attempt to predict the minds of sixtysomething white millionaires. The Oscar nominations are announced January 16, so let’s get cracking and imagine how things are going to shape up. Same note as last year – you don’t have to see the movies to know how things are going to go. The higher the rank, the higher likelihood I see of a nomination. The goal here is to beat my 61% success rate from 2012. I’m also throwing in a few more categories this time.

ROUND ONE: BEST PICTURE

(Between five and ten slots are available here. I’ll go with ten, just to be safe).

# FILM
1 Gravity
2 12 Years a Slave
3 American Hustle
4 Saving Mr. Banks
5 Captain Phillips
6 The Wolf of Wall Street
7 Inside Llewyn Davis
8 Her
9 The Butler
10 Nebraska

ROUND TWO: BEST DIRECTOR

# NOMINEE FILM
1 Alfonso Cuarón Gravity
2 Steve McQueen 12 Years a Slave
3 Martin Scorsese The Wolf of Wall Street
4 David O. Russell American Hustle
5 Paul Greengrass Captain Phillips

ROUND THREE: BEST ACTOR

# NOMINEE FILM
1 Chiwetel Ejiofor 12 Years a Slave
2 Matthew McConaughey Dallas Buyers Club
3 Robert Redford All is Lost
4 Tom Hanks Captain Phillips
5 Bruce Dern Nebraska

ROUND FOUR: BEST ACTRESS                           

# NOMINEE FILM
1 Cate Blanchett Blue Jasmine
2 Sandra Bullock Gravity
3 Emma Thompson Saving Mr. Banks
4 Judi Dench Philomena
5 Amy Adams American Hustle

ROUND FIVE: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR          

# NOMINEE FILM
1 Jared Leto Dallas Buyers Club
2 Michael Fassbender 12 Years a Slave
3 Tom Hanks Saving Mr. Banks
4 Barkhad Abdi Captain Phillips
5 Daniel Bruhl Rush

ROUND SIX: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS                                              

# NOMINEE FILM
1 Lupita Nyong’o 12 Years a Slave
2 Oprah Winfrey The Butler
3 June Squibb Nebraska
4 Jennifer Lawrence American Hustle
5 Octavia Spencer Fruitvale Station

ROUND SEVEN: BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

# FILM
1 American Hustle
2 Blue Jasmine
3 Her
4 Inside Llewyn Davis
5 Nebraska

ROUND EIGHT: BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

# FILM
1 12 Years a Slave
2 Before Midnight
3 The Wolf of Wall Street
4 Philomena
5 Captain Phillips

ROUND NINE: BEST ANIMATED FEATURE 

# FILM
1 Frozen
2 The Wind Rises
3 Monsters’ University
4 The Croods
5 Despicable Me 2

ROUND TEN: BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM            

# FILM
1 The Hunt
2 The Great Beauty
3 The Broken Circle Breakdown
4 Two Lives
5 The Grandmaster

ROUND ELEVEN: BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE      

# FILM
1 Stories We Tell
2 Blackfish
3 The Act of Killing
4 The Square
5 20 Feet from Stardom

ROUND TWELVE: BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

# FILM
1 Gravity
2 Rush
3 12 Years a Slave
4 Inside Llewyn Davis
5 Captain Phillips

ROUND THIRTEEN: BEST COSTUME DESIGN

# FILM
1 American Hustle
2 Oz the Great and Powerful
3 The Great Gatsby
4 The Invisible Woman
5 The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

ROUND FOURTEEN: BEST EDITING            

# FILM
1 Gravity
2 Captain Phillips
3 12 Years a Slave
4 Rush
5 The Wolf of Wall Street

ROUND FIFTEEN: BEST SCORE

# FILM
1 Gravity
2 12 Years a Slave
3 Saving Mr. Banks
4 Frozen
5 The Book Thief

ROUND SIXTEEN: BEST SONG                                               

# NOMINEE FILM
1 “Let it Go” Frozen
2 “Ordinary Love” Mandela: Long Walk to Fredom
3 “I See Fire” The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
4 “Young and Beautiful” The Great Gatsby
5 “Atlas” The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
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One thought on “Predicting Nominations

  1. Pingback: Obligatory Reactions Part I « The Reviews

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