Road to the Oscars: 2016 Nomination Predictions

oscars statues

by Ken B.

Before we kick things off, let me reprint my yearly awards season mantra:

“To predict the outcome of awards shows, you don’t need to have seen all of the nominees, you just need to have seen awards shows before.”

As we had last year (and I will copy-paste the same introductory statement I wrote last year), there will be a rank, from 1 – 5 (or 1 – 10 in the case of Best Picture and 1 – 3 in the case of Best Makeup/Hairstyling), and 1 Biggest Threat (or 2 for Best Picture), which, if nominated, do not count towards my final accuracy score. The lower the number, the higher the odds of a nod (in a five nominee category, #1 has what I see as a 99.9% chance of a nomination (round to 100), #2 has a 90% chance, #3 has an 80% chance, and so on).

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The Worst of the Year (2015)

A visual approximation of how this reviewer felt after watching the movies in this list.

An actual picture of this reviewer after watching any of the following eight movies.

by Ken B.

The days following New Year’s Eve are full of regrets for many people. I’d like to talk about the regrets of this past year. Somehow, I feel it would be negligent of me if I let the first days of 2016 go by without writing about the worst movies I reviewed this past year. For various reasons, it’s a lot easier for me to consider a film one of the best rather than one of the worst. (This is why there are only eight titles on the list this year, and there are twenty on my “best of” compilation). It’s also a “singling out” of the things I felt I truly wasted my time on, a kind of annual “cleansing”, and important to me as a movie watcher because it grants me an opportunity to evaluate the things I didn’t like, and have one last reflection as to why they didn’t work for me.

In terms of getting to watch and write about unique, subversive, emotional, or just plain brilliant works, 2015 was a great year for the site. But of course, there are always some disappointments, such as…

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The Best of the Year (2015)

trophy

by Ken B.

In 2013, I published a top 10 list. In 2014, I published a top 10 list which was basically a top 17, and in 2015, I have forgone the formalities and decided to list the top 20 movies I reviewed this year. I promise this list will not get any bigger.

Note that a for a film to be eligible for inclusion on this list or the soon to be published Worst list, it needs to be a movie reviewed by me, on this site, in 2015. That means that movies released before 2015 are eligible, if I didn’t review a particular film for the site,  even if it came out in 2015,  it doesn’t count. I’ve done my due diligence this year and made sure to write reviews of all of the “great” movies I’ve seen in the past twelve months, so they are all pretty much eligible.

I will reveal five titles a day from now (December 28) until New Year’s Eve. If you’re reading this list on December 31, 2015, or afterwards, everything is here.  

Let’s get started.

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